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Unit 4 · Inference for Means Flashcards Cheat Sheet Essentials Visual Review MC Practice FRQ Practice

AP Statistics Unit 4 FRQ Practice

Practice a College Board-style free response question on a paired (matched-pairs) t-test. Write your response, then reveal the model answer to see exactly what earns each point.

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Free Response Question · Unit 4 · Paired t-Test

A coach records the resting heart rate (in beats per minute) of 10 randomly selected athletes both before and after a six-week training program. For each athlete she computes the difference (before − after). The 10 differences have a mean of d̄ = 4.2 bpm and a standard deviation of s_d = 3.1 bpm. A dotplot of the differences is roughly symmetric with no outliers. The coach wants to know whether the program reduces resting heart rate.

A
Identify the appropriate inference procedure, explain why the data are paired, and state the hypotheses.

✓ Model answer

The appropriate procedure is a paired (matched-pairs) t-test, which is a one-sample t-test on the differences. The data are paired because each athlete is measured twice (before and after), so the two measurements are linked, not independent. Letting μ_d be the true mean difference (before − after), the hypotheses are H₀: μ_d = 0 versus Hₐ: μ_d > 0 (before is higher, meaning the program reduces heart rate).

Why it scores: Names the paired t-test, justifies pairing (same athletes measured twice), AND states hypotheses about the mean difference μ_d with a correct one-sided alternative.
B
Verify the conditions and calculate the test statistic and degrees of freedom.

✓ Model answer

Random: the athletes were randomly selected. 10%: 10 athletes are fewer than 10% of all athletes. Normal/Large Sample: the dotplot of differences is roughly symmetric with no outliers, so the t-procedure is appropriate. The test statistic is t = d̄/(s_d/√n) = 4.2/(3.1/√10) = 4.2/0.980 ≈ 4.28, with df = n − 1 = 9.

Why it scores: Checks all three conditions in context AND computes t ≈ 4.28 with df = 9, showing the standard error 3.1/√10. Forgetting to divide by √n is the most common error.
C
The p-value for this test is approximately 0.001. State your decision at α = 0.05 and your conclusion in context, then describe what a Type I error would mean here.

✓ Model answer

Because the p-value (0.001) is less than α = 0.05, we reject H₀. There is convincing evidence that the true mean difference in resting heart rate (before − after) is greater than 0 — that is, that the training program reduces athletes' resting heart rate on average. A Type I error here would mean concluding that the program reduces resting heart rate when in reality it has no effect (the true mean difference is 0).

Why it scores: Compares the p-value to α, makes the decision (reject H₀), states the conclusion in context, AND correctly describes a Type I error as a false positive in this specific scenario.

How to score points on AP Statistics FRQs